RETAINED MARKET RESEARCH
Soccer Steam
What happened after the line moved? Compare actual pregame observations with independently verified regulation scores.
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Movement vs. result
Up predicts Over; down predicts Under. Each row is a separate cohort. Price-only means the main total is unchanged at the signal. Returns use one-unit observed-price proxies, not confirmed fills.
| Movement | Target | Direction | Games | Correct | Baseline | Proxy bets | No price | Net units | ROI |
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Individual games
First observed is not an official sportsbook opener. Signal quotes and final pregame quotes are kept separate; later market movement does not rewrite the signal.
| Game / kickoff | Signal / target | First observed | Signal line | Final pregame | Total move | Regulation | Outcome / proxy | Evidence |
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No verified games meet these filters. Missing history is not evidence of an unchanged market.